Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.046900 0.055690 0.065568 0.077477 0.091432 0.107249 0.126526
2025-04-20 0.033736 0.045096 0.059337 0.078434 0.103306 0.134528 0.176615
2025-04-27 0.026004 0.038158 0.054751 0.078920 0.113061 0.159377 0.226755
2025-05-04 0.020931 0.033207 0.051203 0.079269 0.121651 0.182902 0.277680
2025-05-11 0.017522 0.029759 0.048841 0.080411 0.130893 0.207899 0.333469
2025-05-18 0.015294 0.027603 0.047882 0.083234 0.142685 0.237762 0.400042
2025-05-25 0.012583 0.024065 0.043997 0.080502 0.144875 0.252478 0.444132
2025-06-01 0.010835 0.021858 0.041929 0.080387 0.151185 0.274361 0.502336
2025-06-08 0.009279 0.019696 0.039546 0.079239 0.155338 0.292803 0.556528
2025-06-15 0.008359 0.018593 0.038927 0.081207 0.165323 0.322542 0.634132
2025-06-22 0.007269 0.016935 0.036947 0.080185 0.169375 0.341709 0.694218
2025-06-29 0.006243 0.015218 0.034563 0.077946 0.170630 0.355556 0.745509
2025-07-06 0.005305 0.013546 0.032045 0.075133 0.170504 0.367040 0.794328
2025-07-13 0.004814 0.012828 0.031510 0.076562 0.179568 0.398191 0.886904
2025-07-20 0.004329 0.012031 0.030661 0.077145 0.186836 0.426418 0.976622
2025-07-27 0.003894 0.011275 0.029783 0.077509 0.193630 0.454361 1.068863
2025-08-03 0.003553 0.010702 0.029256 0.078632 0.202312 0.487395 1.175996
2025-08-10 0.003329 0.010407 0.029383 0.081396 0.215278 0.531520 1.313050
2025-08-17 0.002890 0.009408 0.027506 0.078723 0.214479 0.543693 1.377482
2025-08-24 0.002610 0.008824 0.026648 0.078610 0.220129 0.571747 1.482613
2025-08-31 0.002327 0.008169 0.025487 0.077486 0.222986 0.593310 1.574339
2025-09-07 0.002177 0.007910 0.025417 0.079413 0.234236 0.636946 1.725469
2025-09-14 0.001952 0.007357 0.024387 0.078412 0.237337 0.660213 1.827532